Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: match_cancellation_or_delay
Calibrated 100% · raw 9895% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/30/2026, 9:30:30 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 50% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
0%
ORYN Consensus
99%
Signal Score
+99.0
Opportunity
97.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,116,966
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 9895.0¢
Entry: 0-3
—
Resolution
5d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
2 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Bruno Fernandez and Rodrigo Pacheco in the Quito, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in set 2 equals or exceeds 9. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any tiebreak in set 2 counts as one (1) game toward the total. If set 2 is not completed for any reason (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for the total games in set 2 of the Fernandez vs. Pacheco tennis match (Quito, June 29, 2026) is highly unlikely to resolve as 'Over' (9+ games), with a market probability of 0.05%. The outcome is heavily skewed toward 'Under' due to the low threshold and standard tennis scoring dynamics.
A bullish outcome would require both players to engage in an unusually high-scoring set 2, such as an extended rally-heavy match with frequent breaks and long games. This could happen if both players are in peak form, playing defensively, or if external factors (e.g., weather delays) prolong the match.
The 'Under' outcome is far more probable, as tennis sets typically average 6-8 games unless one player dominates with minimal resistance. Even aggressive baseline play or serve-and-volley tactics rarely exceed 9 games in a single set under normal conditions.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
No direct venue links for this market. ORYN exclusive markets are intelligence-only.
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