Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Match cancellation or delay (resolves 50-50)
AI updated 6/30/2026, 9:30:39 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 23% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
0%
ORYN Consensus
0%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 0-3
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
4
Price history
2 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Bruno Fernandez and Rodrigo Pacheco in the Quito, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in set 2 equals or exceeds 11. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any tiebreak in set 2 counts as one (1) game toward the total. If set 2 is not completed for any reason (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for 'Fernandez vs. Pacheco: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5' is highly unlikely to resolve to 'Over,' with a current probability of 0.05%. The low probability reflects the rarity of such a high game count in a single set of professional tennis.
A bullish outcome ('Over 10.5') could occur if both players engage in an exceptionally long rally-based match with frequent breaks, leading to an extended set 2. Unforced errors and tiebreaks could also contribute to a higher game total.
A bearish outcome ('Under 10.5') is far more likely, as professional tennis matches typically resolve sets in fewer games, especially in high-stakes or competitive matches. Early dominance by one player or quick service holds could suppress the game count.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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