Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: unexpected_retirements
Calibrated 100% · raw 200% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/30/2026, 9:15:54 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 22% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
52%
Signal Score
+2.0
Opportunity
1.3
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 200.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
5
Price history
3 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Bruno Fernandez and Rodrigo Pacheco in the Quito, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 23. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger statistics.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for the tennis match between Bruno Fernandez and Rodrigo Pacheco is evenly split, with a slight lean toward the 'Over' outcome (22.5 games). The 50.95% probability suggests uncertainty about the match dynamics or player styles.
Fernandez and Pacheco are both known for aggressive baseline play and long rallies, increasing the likelihood of a high-game match. Historical data from their recent encounters shows extended sets, favoring the 'Over' outcome.
If either player adopts a serve-and-volley strategy or the match is shortened by early retirements or poor weather conditions, the total games could fall below 23. Past performances in similar conditions may also support an 'Under' resolution.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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