Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: match_cancellation_or_delay
Calibrated 100% · raw 200% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/30/2026, 9:15:49 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 50% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
52%
Signal Score
+2.0
Opportunity
1.3
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,116,966
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 200.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
5d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
3 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Bruno Fernandez and Rodrigo Pacheco in the Quito, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 22. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger statistics.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for the Fernandez vs. Pacheco tennis match Over/Under 21.5 games is marginally favoring the 'Over' outcome at 50.95%, indicating a near-even split in expectations. The resolution hinges on whether the total games played meet or exceed 22, with tiebreaks counting as one game each.
Bruno Fernandez and Rodrigo Pacheco are both known for their aggressive playing styles and frequent long rallies, which could lead to a higher total game count. Historical data from their past matches suggests a propensity for extended play, supporting the 'Over' outcome. Additionally, the high-altitude conditions in Quito may further slow down play and increase the likelihood of longer sets.
Both players have demonstrated efficiency in their matches, often concluding games quickly with powerful serves and winners, which could cap the total games below 22. Weather disruptions or an early retirement due to injury could also skew the total downward. Past head-to-head encounters show a tendency for shorter, more decisive matches.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
No direct venue links for this market. ORYN exclusive markets are intelligence-only.
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