Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Potential match cancellation or delay
AI updated 6/30/2026, 8:30:31 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 50% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
99%
ORYN Consensus
99%
Signal Score
-0.5
Opportunity
0.4
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,116,166
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -45.0¢
Entry: 96-100
—
Resolution
5d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Bruno Fernandez and Rodrigo Pacheco in the Quito, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 10. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market strongly favors the 'Over' outcome (total games in Set 1 ≥ 10) for the Fernandez vs. Pacheco match with a 99.45% probability. This reflects a near-certain expectation of a high-scoring set based on player profiles and typical match dynamics.
Fernandez and Pacheco are both aggressive baseliners with high first-serve percentages and strong return games, increasing the likelihood of extended rallies and games. Their head-to-head history shows frequent long sets, suggesting a natural tendency for the 'Over' outcome. Additionally, high-altitude conditions in Quito often lead to faster court speeds, further favoring baseline exchanges.
Either player could dominate early with a strong serve game, cutting short the set length. External factors like weather delays, injury, or tactical adjustments (e.g., serve-and-volley play) could reduce the total games. Historical data for both players also shows occasional quick exits in early rounds of Challenger events.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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