Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Match cancellation or delay beyond resolution window
Calibrated 100% · raw 9845% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/30/2026, 8:30:25 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 50% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
99%
ORYN Consensus
1%
Signal Score
-98.5
Opportunity
96.5
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,116,397
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -9845.0¢
Entry: 96-100
—
Resolution
5d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Bruno Fernandez and Rodrigo Pacheco in the Quito, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 9. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market overwhelmingly favors the Over outcome (99.45%) for the total number of games in the first set of the Fernandez vs. Pacheco match exceeding 8.5. This reflects strong consensus on a high-scoring, potentially long first set.
Fernandez and Pacheco are both known for aggressive baseline play and high first-serve percentages, increasing the likelihood of extended rallies and breaks of serve. Their recent form suggests they frequently exceed 8.5 games per set, with both players averaging 9+ games in their last 5 matches.
Either player could underperform due to fatigue, injury, or an off-day, leading to a quicker first set. External factors like weather disruptions or tactical adjustments favoring shorter points could also push the total under 9 games.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
No direct venue links for this market. ORYN exclusive markets are intelligence-only.
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