Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: unexpected_injury_or_retirement
AI updated 6/28/2026, 5:31:59 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
964,146
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
8d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Blake Ellis and Philip Sekulic in the Cary, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in set 2 equals or exceeds 10. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any tiebreak in set 2 counts as one (1) game toward the total. If set 2 is not completed for any reason (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Ellis vs. Sekulic set 2 games over/under 9.5 is currently at 50% probability, indicating a balanced expectation with no clear consensus. The outcome hinges on the dynamics of the second set, including potential tiebreakers or match-ending scenarios.
Blake Ellis and Philip Sekulic may engage in an aggressive baseline rally or high-pace serve-and-volley exchanges, leading to a high-game second set (10+ games). Their playing styles or conditions (e.g., outdoor hard court) could favor extended rallies, increasing the likelihood of an 'Over' resolution.
The match could end decisively in the first set or early in the second set due to one player dominating, resulting in fewer than 10 games played. Alternatively, a quick tiebreaker or rain delay could curtail the second set, triggering a 50-50 resolution.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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