Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: match_cancellation_or_delay
AI updated 6/28/2026, 5:20:32 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
964,408
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
8d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Blake Ellis and Philip Sekulic in the Cary, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in set 2 equals or exceeds 9. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any tiebreak in set 2 counts as one (1) game toward the total. If set 2 is not completed for any reason (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for Ellis vs. Sekulic Set 2 Games Over/Under 8.5 is evenly split at 50%, reflecting high uncertainty due to limited match data and external factors. Resolution hinges on set 2 completion, with a 50-50 fallback if the set is not played or the match is canceled.
Ellis or Sekulic may favor a high-game set due to aggressive baseline play or serve dominance, leading to extended rallies or tiebreaks. Weather conditions or court surface could also favor a slower, longer set. Historical data on both players' set lengths supports potential overage.
Either player's dominant serve or efficient play could end the set quickly, resulting in fewer than 9 games. Injuries or external delays (e.g., rain) might truncate the set. Past head-to-head or recent form suggests a low-scoring set, favoring the under.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
No direct venue links for this market. ORYN exclusive markets are intelligence-only.
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