Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Lack of publicized player statistics or match history
AI updated 6/28/2026, 5:23:04 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
964,743
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
HIGH
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
8d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Sueoka/Tajima and Nagoudi/Paganetti in the Troyes, originally scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 10. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for the Sueoka/Tajima vs. Nagoudi/Paganetti tennis match in the first set games over/under 9.5 is evenly split at 50%, reflecting uncertainty due to lack of publicized player statistics, matchup history, or surface details. The neutral probability suggests no clear market bias toward either outcome.
A bullish outcome (Over 9.5 games) could be driven by high-profile players Sueoka/Tajima with aggressive playing styles, known for long rallies or frequent tiebreaks, or if the match is played on a slow surface like clay, increasing game duration. Market confidence could rise if player rankings or head-to-head data favor an extended set.
A bearish outcome (Under 9.5 games) may result if Nagoudi/Paganetti are strong servers or if the match is on a fast surface like hardcourt, leading to shorter games or quick set outcomes. External factors like weather delays or player withdrawals could also skew the market toward the under.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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