Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Match cancellation or delay beyond resolution window
AI updated 6/28/2026, 5:46:56 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
965,788
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
9d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Soto/Zeballos and Heredia/Urrea in the Quito, originally scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 24. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger statistics.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for the tennis match Soto/Zeballos vs. Heredia/Urrea (Match O/U 23.5) is perfectly balanced at 50%, indicating no clear consensus on whether the total games will exceed or fall short of 23.5. The neutral probability reflects the lack of distinguishable advantage between the teams or match dynamics.
A bullish outcome (Over 23.5) could materialize if the match features aggressive baseline play, frequent tiebreaks, or extended rallies, common in high-stakes doubles matches. High-altitude conditions in Quito may also favor players with strong serving games, potentially increasing the total games.
A bearish outcome (Under 23.5) is plausible if the match is dominated by dominant serves or quick straight-sets victories, particularly if one pair significantly outperforms the other. Weather disruptions, player fatigue, or tactical defensive play could also suppress the total games.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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