Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: match_delay_or_cancellation
Calibrated 100% · raw 200% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/28/2026, 5:46:37 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
52%
Signal Score
+2.0
Opportunity
1.3
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
964,146
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 200.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
9d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Silva/Alves and Oliveira/Almeida in the Quito, originally scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 11. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for the first set games over/under 10.5 between Silva/Alves and Oliveira/Almeida is evenly balanced at 50%, reflecting high uncertainty in an early-stage tennis match with no recent performance data. The neutral resolution criteria (50-50) for incomplete sets or delays add to the ambiguity.
A bullish outcome (Over 10.5 games) could result from high-intensity play, strong servers winning quick points, or aggressive baseline rallies extending games. If either pair relies on long rallies or tiebreaks, the set could exceed 11 games, favoring the Over bet.
A bearish outcome (Under 10.5 games) may occur if one or both teams dominate with powerful serves, leading to quick service holds and short games. Early breaks or a lopsided first set could push the total under 11 games.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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