Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: unexpected match delays or cancellations
AI updated 6/28/2026, 5:32:48 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
965,483
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
9d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Shimizu/Watanabe and Nam/Niklas-Salminen in the Cary, originally scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 10. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for the Shimizu/Watanabe vs. Nam/Niklas-Salminen tennis match (Cary, June 30, 2026) shows a neutral 50% probability for the first set's games total to exceed 9.5. The outcome hinges on match dynamics and potential tiebreak scenarios.
A high-scoring first set with aggressive baseline play or frequent tiebreaks could push the game total over 9.5, favoring Shimizu/Watanabe if they dominate points or Nam/Niklas-Salminen struggle with serve consistency.
A tightly contested match with extended service holds or a low-scoring first set (e.g., 6-4 or 7-5) would likely result in an 'Under' outcome, especially if the players avoid tiebreaks and games are hard-fought.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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