Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: potential match cancellation or delay
AI updated 6/28/2026, 5:21:26 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
965,788
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
9d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Shimizu/Watanabe and Nam/Niklas-Salminen in the Cary, originally scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 9. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for the Shimizu/Watanabe vs. Nam/Niklas-Salminen tennis match in Cary (Set 1 Games O/U 8.5) currently sits at 50% probability, indicating a balanced outlook with no clear consensus on total games exceeding or falling short of 8.5.
A bullish scenario would involve both teams playing an aggressive style, leading to frequent breaks of serve and longer rallies, resulting in a high total game count (9+). Favorable court conditions or a high-scoring surface could also contribute to this outcome.
A bearish scenario would see both teams holding serve consistently, with few breaks and shorter points, leading to a low total game count (8 or fewer). Strong serving performances or unfavorable weather conditions could suppress the game total.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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