Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: unforeseen match cancellations
AI updated 6/28/2026, 5:32:17 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
964,408
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
9d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Monzon/Tenti and Aboian/Fernandez in the Quito, originally scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 10. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for the Monzon/Tenti vs. Aboian/Fernandez first-set games total is balanced at 50%, reflecting equal odds for Over/Under 9.5 games. The match’s outcome hinges on the teams' playing styles and potential tiebreak scenarios.
Monzon/Tenti or Aboian/Fernandez may employ aggressive baseline strategies, leading to longer rallies and a higher game count. A tiebreak in the first set would automatically push the total to 10+ games, favoring 'Over.'
If either team dominates with quick holds and unreturned serves, the first set could conclude in fewer than 10 games, favoring 'Under.' External factors like weather delays or retirements could also skew the resolution to 50-50.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
No direct venue links for this market. ORYN exclusive markets are intelligence-only.
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