Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Match cancellation or delay beyond 7 days
Calibrated 100% · raw 4000% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/28/2026, 3:45:46 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
90%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
-40.0
Opportunity
26.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,151,285
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -4000.0¢
Entry: 87-93
—
Resolution
6d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
3 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Miguel/Santos and Pino/Pino in the Piracicaba, originally scheduled for June 28, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in set 2 equals or exceeds 11. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any tiebreak in set 2 counts as one (1) game toward the total. If set 2 is not completed for any reason (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for the tennis match between Miguel/Santos and Pino/Pino has an even 50.00% probability of the total games in set 2 exceeding 10.5. The outcome depends heavily on match dynamics and completion of set 2.
The 'Over' case is supported if the match features aggressive baseline play or frequent winners, leading to a high-scoring set 2. Tiebreaks or prolonged rallies could push the game total above 11.
The 'Under' case is plausible if the match is dominated by serve-and-volley play or short, efficient points, resulting in fewer games in set 2. Early retirement or a quick set 2 could also drive the total below 11.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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