Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: weather_delays_indefinite_postponement
AI updated 6/29/2026, 5:18:11 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,470,173
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
8d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Melo/Molteni and Krajicek/Mektic in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for July 1, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 10. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam results.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for the first set games over/under 9.5 in the Melo/Molteni vs. Krajicek/Mektic Wimbledon ATP match shows a neutral probability of 50.00%, indicating no clear market bias toward over or under. The 50-50 resolution conditions for incomplete or canceled matches further dilute directional sentiment.
A bullish outcome (Over 9.5 games) could materialize if both teams play an aggressive, high-energy style with frequent break points and extended rallies, typical of grass-court tennis. Players with strong serve-and-volley skills or baseline power hitters with high first-serve percentages may push the set beyond 10 games.
A bearish outcome (Under 9.5 games) is plausible if either team dominates with a dominant serve, leading to quick holds and minimal breaks. Highly efficient servers like Krajicek or Melo could limit the set to 8-9 games, especially if the match features few unforced errors or extended exchanges.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
Route to regulated venues when you are ready. ORYN never holds your funds.
ORYN does not hold funds or execute trades. You will be redirected to a third-party regulated venue.
No comments yet.
