Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: unforeseen_weather_delays
Calibrated 100% · raw 200% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/28/2026, 6:01:50 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
52%
Signal Score
+2.0
Opportunity
1.3
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
965,483
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 200.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
9d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Martinez/Nedunchezhiyan and Boulais/Maginley in the Cary, originally scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 24. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger statistics.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for the Martinez/Nedunchezhiyan vs. Boulais/Maginley tennis match O/U 23.5 games is evenly split, indicating high uncertainty about match length. The 50% probability suggests no clear consensus on whether the total games will exceed or fall short of the threshold.
A high-scoring match with frequent breaks of serve or extended rallies could push the total games over 23.5, favoring the 'Over' outcome. Aggressive baseline play or tiebreaks in multiple sets may contribute to a longer match duration.
A match dominated by strong servers or quick straight-set victories could result in fewer than 24 total games, favoring the 'Under' outcome. Efficient play with minimal breaks of serve may reduce the likelihood of extended sets or tiebreaks.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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