Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: unexpected_player_withdrawal
AI updated 6/28/2026, 5:47:02 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
965,483
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
9d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Leroux/Manning and Isaro/Poonacha in the Cary, originally scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 22. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger statistics.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for the tennis match Leroux/Manning vs. Isaro/Poonacha (Cary, June 30, 2026) shows a 50% probability of the total games exceeding 21.5, indicating a neutral expectation for match length. The outcome hinges on match dynamics, player styles, and potential external factors.
A high-scoring match is plausible if both teams employ aggressive serve-and-volley tactics or engage in prolonged rallies, increasing the likelihood of games surpassing 22. Player fatigue or inconsistent serving could also extend the match duration.
A low-scoring match is likely if either team dominates with powerful serves or efficient return games, leading to quick sets and fewer total games. A defensive style or weather disruptions could also truncate the match.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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