Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: match_disruption
Calibrated 100% · raw 500% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/29/2026, 5:17:27 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
55%
Signal Score
+5.0
Opportunity
3.8
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,469,623
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 500.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
8d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Krawietz/Puetz and Bergs/Blockx in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for July 1, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in set 2 equals or exceeds 11. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any tiebreak in set 2 counts as one (1) game toward the total. If set 2 is not completed for any reason (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam results.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for the Wimbledon ATP doubles match (Krawietz/Puetz vs. Bergs/Blockx) set 2 games over/under 10.5 is currently at 50.00%, indicating a balanced expectation with no clear consensus on total games in set 2.
A bullish outcome (Over 10.5) suggests a high-scoring, aggressive second set with frequent breaks and extended rallies, likely due to both teams favoring offensive playstyles or playing on a surface conducive to fast-paced tennis.
A bearish outcome (Under 10.5) implies a low-scoring second set, possibly due to strong serving dominance, defensive playstyles, or unfavorable conditions (e.g., windy weather, slow court surface) reducing rally lengths and game counts.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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