Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: unexpected_player_injury
Calibrated 100% · raw 200% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/29/2026, 5:17:22 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
48%
Signal Score
-2.0
Opportunity
1.5
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,469,623
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -200.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
8d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Krawietz/Puetz and Bergs/Blockx in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for July 1, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 10. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam results.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for Krawietz/Puetz vs. Bergs/Blockx Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 is evenly split at 50%, reflecting no clear consensus on the likely game total in the first set. The neutral probability suggests balanced expectations for both outcomes based on available information.
A bullish scenario could emerge if the match features aggressive baseline play or frequent net approaches, increasing the likelihood of a high-scoring first set. Historically, grass courts tend to favor slightly higher game totals due to faster play and more break opportunities.
A bearish outcome is plausible if the match is dominated by strong serving or defensive play, leading to fewer breaks and a lower total game count. Weather conditions or player fatigue could also suppress the total below 10 games.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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