Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: unexpected_withdrawals_or_injuries
AI updated 6/29/2026, 5:16:57 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,469,528
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
8d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Hidalgo/Vocel and Cabral/Miedler in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for July 1, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 11. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam results.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for the first set games Over/Under 10.5 in the Hidalgo/Vocel vs. Cabral/Miedler Wimbledon match is evenly balanced at 50%, indicating no clear consensus on the likely outcome. The resolution hinges on the total games played in the first set, with tiebreaks counting as a single game.
A bullish outcome (Over 10.5) could result from high-intensity play, aggressive serving, or frequent breaks, leading to an extended set. Fast-court specialists or aggressive baseline players may favor longer rallies, pushing the total games above 10.5.
A bearish outcome (Under 10.5) may occur if the match features dominant serving games or quick dominance by one pair, limiting the total games played. Efficient serving pairs or players with strong net skills could shorten the set to 6-4 or similar scorelines.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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