Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: match_cancellation
AI updated 6/28/2026, 5:23:16 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
964,408
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
8d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Hermans/Marcondes and Becroft/Delaney in the Troyes, originally scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 23. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger statistics.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for the tennis match Hermans/Marcondes vs. Becroft/Delaney in Troyes is evenly split, with a 50.00% probability assigned to the Over/Under 22.5 games outcome. The neutral valuation reflects equal likelihood of a high-scoring or low-scoring match based on current data.
The Over case suggests a high-scoring match with aggressive playstyles from both teams, potential tiebreaks, or longer rallies. Hermans/Marcondes or Becroft/Delaney may have strong serving games or vulnerability in breaks, increasing the total games to 23+. Historical data on their doubles partnerships could support this scenario.
The Under case implies a tightly contested match with minimal breaks, short service games, or quick retirements. Both teams may rely on dominant serves or experience fatigue early, reducing the total games to 22 or fewer. Weather conditions or surface (clay) could also suppress scoring.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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