Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: unexpected_retirement
AI updated 6/28/2026, 5:32:54 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
965,623
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
9d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Harper/Hilderbrand and Fenty/Poling in the Cary, originally scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 22. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger statistics.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for the Harper/Hilderbrand vs. Fenty/Poling tennis match Over/Under 21.5 games is evenly balanced at 50.00%, indicating no clear consensus on the likely game total. The resolution hinges on whether the match exceeds 21 games, with tiebreak rules simplifying the counting process.
A higher game total (Over 21.5) is plausible if the match features aggressive baseline play, frequent break opportunities, or extended rallies. Teams with strong serving dynamics or slow-court specialists may also contribute to a longer match.
An Under 21.5 outcome is supported by dominant serving performances, quick match finishes (e.g., straight sets with minimal breaks), or high-altitude conditions (if applicable) that favor fast play. Early retirements or walkovers would also skew toward the Under.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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