Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: match_delay_or_cancellation
AI updated 6/28/2026, 5:22:34 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
964,146
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
8d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Gueymard-Wayenburg/Kasnikowski and Mayot/Piros in the Brasov, originally scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 11. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for the first set games over/under 10.5 in the Gueymard-Wayenburg/Kasnikowski vs. Mayot/Piros match is at a neutral 50% probability, indicating no clear market preference for over or under. The outcome is highly sensitive to first-set dynamics, with resolution rules favoring 50-50 in case of incomplete or delayed matches.
The over (11+ games) is supported by the potential for high-energy baseline rallies between Gueymard-Wayenburg/Kasnikowski and Mayot/Piros, both known for aggressive play. A first-set tiebreak would also push the total to 11 games, favoring the over outcome. Weather conditions or court surface could further extend rallies.
The under (10 or fewer games) could materialize if either duo employs a serve-and-volley strategy, leading to quick holds and fewer games. External factors like rain delays or player fatigue might curtail the set early. Dominant serving performances by either pair would also suppress the total game count.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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