Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Match suspension or abandonment due to external factors (e.g., weather, player withdrawal)
Calibrated 100% · raw 200% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/28/2026, 5:32:23 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
52%
Signal Score
+2.0
Opportunity
1.3
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
964,743
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 200.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
9d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Gomez/Rodrigues and Magadan/Rodriguez in the Quito, originally scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in set 2 equals or exceeds 10. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any tiebreak in set 2 counts as one (1) game toward the total. If set 2 is not completed for any reason (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Set 2 Games Over/Under 9.5 in the Gomez/Rodrigues vs. Magadan/Rodriguez match is evenly split, reflecting uncertainty about match dynamics. The 50% probability suggests no clear consensus on whether the second set will exceed 9.5 games.
A bullish outcome (Over 9.5) could result from high-energy play, frequent breaks, or an extended tiebreak, increasing total games. This scenario favors aggressive baseliners or servers with inconsistent holds.
A bearish outcome (Under 9.5) may occur if one team dominates with quick holds or a short match, reducing total games. This could happen if a strong server faces a weak returner or if weather/conditions favor fast play.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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