Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: unexpected_retirements_or_injuries
AI updated 6/28/2026, 5:33:27 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
965,788
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
8d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Fuchs/Thayne and Genov/Wehnelt in the Troyes, originally scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 11. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Fuchs/Thayne vs. Genov/Wehnelt Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 is currently at 50%, indicating a balanced view with no clear favorite. The neutral probability reflects the lack of decisive market sentiment or public data favoring either outcome.
A bullish outcome (Over 10.5 games) could arise if both teams are aggressive servers or if the match features high-energy baseline rallies, increasing the likelihood of extended games. Unforced errors or tiebreaks would also push the total toward the Over threshold.
A bearish outcome (Under 10.5 games) may occur if the match is dominated by dominant servers with quick holds, leading to fewer games per set. Early retirements, weather delays, or a tightly contested first set with minimal errors could also drive the total below the Over/Under line.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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