Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: unpredictable_weather_delays
AI updated 6/29/2026, 5:16:13 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,469,528
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
8d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Doumbia/Reboul and Kirkov/Stevens in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for July 1, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 23. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam statistics.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for the Wimbledon ATP match Doumbia/Reboul vs. Kirkov/Stevens Over/Under 22.5 games is currently balanced at 50% probability, reflecting high uncertainty due to limited match data and evenly matched opponents.
The Over 22.5 games scenario could materialize if the match features aggressive baseline play, frequent tiebreaks, or extended rallies, common in high-stakes ATP doubles where endurance and consistency drive total game counts.
The Under 22.5 games scenario may prevail if the match is dominated by powerful servers or net players, leading to quick holds and short sets, particularly if one pair consistently dictates play with minimal errors.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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