Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Match cancellation or delay beyond 7 days (50-50 resolution)
AI updated 6/28/2026, 5:23:36 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
965,483
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
8d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Damas/Batalla and Colasanto/Seghetti in the Milan, originally scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 23. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger statistics.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for the Damas/Batalla vs. Colasanto/Seghetti tennis match (Milan, June 30, 2026) shows a neutral 50% probability for the total games to exceed 22.5 (Over/Under). The outcome hinges on match dynamics, player endurance, and potential tiebreak scenarios.
A high-scoring match with frequent tiebreaks (counting as 1 game each) or extended sets could push the total games to 23+. If both teams are aggressive servers with long rallies, the Over outcome becomes more likely. Unforced errors or inconsistent play may also inflate the game count.
A match dominated by quick, low-error games (e.g., straight-sets victories with minimal breaks) or early retirements could result in fewer than 23 games. Strong serving performances or weather delays reducing match duration may favor the Under outcome.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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