Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Match cancellation or delay beyond resolution window
AI updated 6/28/2026, 5:34:07 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
964,146
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
8d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Damas/Batalla and Colasanto/Seghetti in the Milan, originally scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 9. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for the Damas/Batalla vs. Colasanto/Seghetti match (Set 1 Games O/U 8.5) is evenly split at 50%, indicating high uncertainty. The outcome depends on first-set dynamics, with no clear favorite in the current data.
Damas/Batalla may favor a high-scoring first set with aggressive serving or baseline play, pushing games past 8.5. Their recent form or head-to-head history could support an over outcome if they dominate rallies or force unforced errors from Colasanto/Seghetti.
Colasanto/Seghetti might employ a defensive or serve-and-volley strategy, limiting total games to 8 or fewer. Their consistency in breaking serves or holding easily could skew the market toward under, especially if Damas/Batalla struggle with unforced errors.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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