Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Incomplete first set due to weather or external disruptions
AI updated 6/28/2026, 5:47:32 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
964,408
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
8d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Damas/Batalla and Colasanto/Seghetti in the Milan, originally scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 11. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for the Damas/Batalla vs. Colasanto/Seghetti first set games over/under 10.5 is evenly split, reflecting high uncertainty in outcome due to limited match data and potential variability in playing styles.
Damas/Batalla may employ an aggressive serve-and-volley strategy, leading to a high-paced match with 11+ games in the first set, particularly if they target weaknesses in Colasanto/Seghetti's baseline game.
Colasanto/Seghetti could dominate with a defensive, rally-heavy style, resulting in fewer games (e.g., 9 or fewer) if they force Damas/Batalla into errors or long rallies, especially on slower court surfaces.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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