Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: match_cancellation_or_delay
AI updated 6/29/2026, 10:30:42 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 21% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
0%
ORYN Consensus
1%
Signal Score
+0.9
Opportunity
0.9
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 95.0¢
Entry: 0-3
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
1
Price history
2 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Casanova/Sakamoto and Galarraga/Yunez in the Quito, originally scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in set 2 equals or exceeds 10. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any tiebreak in set 2 counts as one (1) game toward the total. If set 2 is not completed for any reason (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for the tennis doubles match between Casanova/Sakamoto and Galarraga/Yunez in Quito has an extremely low probability (0.05%) of the total games in set 2 reaching or exceeding 9.5. The market is highly skewed toward the 'Under' outcome due to the nature of doubles tennis and typical set durations.
A bullish outcome (Over 9.5) could materialize if the match features aggressive playstyles, frequent tiebreaks, or an unusually high number of games due to extended rallies or unforced errors, particularly in a competitive doubles format where teams push each other to break points.
The bearish outcome (Under 9.5) is more likely given the standard structure of doubles tennis sets, which often conclude within 6-10 games. Factors like efficient serving, quick breaks, or a dominant team could suppress the total game count below the threshold.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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