Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Match cancellation or delay beyond 7 days (50-50 resolution)
AI updated 6/29/2026, 10:30:31 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 22% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
0%
ORYN Consensus
0%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 0-3
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
3
Price history
2 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Casanova/Sakamoto and Galarraga/Yunez in the Quito, originally scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in set 2 equals or exceeds 9. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any tiebreak in set 2 counts as one (1) game toward the total. If set 2 is not completed for any reason (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for Set 2 Games Over/Under 8.5 in the Casanova/Sakamoto vs. Galarraga/Yunez match is highly skewed toward the 'Under' outcome, with a 0.05% probability assigned to the 'Over' scenario. The resolution conditions heavily favor the 'Under' side due to the likelihood of the match concluding before or during Set 2.
A high-scoring, aggressive match with frequent breaks and long rallies could push the total games in Set 2 to 9 or more. If both teams are serving well and extending points, the set could exceed 8.5 games. Unforced errors or a dominant server could also prolong the set.
The match is likely to end in straight sets (1-0 or 2-0) or in a short Set 2 (e.g., 6-0 or 6-1), resulting in fewer than 9 total games. Early dominance by one team or a quick resolution in Set 1 would reduce the probability of exceeding 8.5 games.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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