Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Match cancellation or delay beyond resolution criteria
Calibrated 100% · raw 2495% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/29/2026, 10:30:54 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 24% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
0%
ORYN Consensus
25%
Signal Score
+24.9
Opportunity
23.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 2495.0¢
Entry: 0-3
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
4
Price history
2 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Casanova/Sakamoto and Galarraga/Yunez in the Quito, originally scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 24. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger statistics.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for the tennis match Casanova/Sakamoto vs. Galarraga/Yunez (Quito, June 30, 2026) shows an extremely low probability (0.25%) that the total games will exceed 23.5. The odds heavily favor the 'Under' outcome due to typical match dynamics and pre-match conditions.
A high-scoring match with aggressive serving and baseline rallies could push the total games over 24, especially if both teams are unseeded and playing aggressively. Unforced errors or short points might reduce the total, but a fast-paced match with frequent breaks could counterbalance this.
Most Challenger-level doubles matches conclude with fewer than 24 total games, as teams often rely on efficient serving and quick points to win games. The format (best-of-3 sets) typically results in lower total game counts unless the match is exceptionally long.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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