Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: match cancellation or delay
AI updated 6/29/2026, 5:18:42 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,469,098
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
8d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Bolelli/Vavassori and Jones/Paris in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for July 1, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 11. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam results.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for the Bolelli/Vavassori vs. Jones/Paris Wimbledon ATP match's first set games over/under 10.5 is currently at a neutral 50.00% probability, indicating no clear market bias toward over or under. The even odds suggest balanced expectations between the two teams' serving and returning dynamics.
A bullish outlook could stem from Jones/Paris's historical performance on grass courts, where their aggressive serving and net play may lead to a faster-paced set with fewer extended rallies. Additionally, if either team benefits from favorable weather conditions (e.g., dry courts reducing slipperiness), the total games could exceed expectations.
A bearish case might consider Bolelli/Vavassori's experience in tight sets and their tendency to extend rallies, potentially reducing the pace of play and keeping the total games under 11. Weather disruptions (e.g., rain delays) or a high number of break points could also shorten the set.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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