Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: match_cancellation
Calibrated 100% · raw 4475% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 7/2/2026, 3:15:31 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 39% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
0%
ORYN Consensus
45%
Signal Score
+44.8
Opportunity
42.5
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,678,765
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 4475.0¢
Entry: 0-3
—
Resolution
5d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
2 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Bianchi/Harper and Milavsky/Sheehy in the Cary, originally scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in set 2 equals or exceeds 10. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any tiebreak in set 2 counts as one (1) game toward the total. If set 2 is not completed for any reason (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Bianchi/Harper vs. Milavsky/Sheehy (Set 2 Games Over/Under 9.5) shows an extremely low probability (0.45%) of the total games in Set 2 meeting or exceeding 10. The resolution hinges on match dynamics, with a 50-50 fallback if the set is incomplete or canceled.
A high-scoring match with aggressive baseline play or frequent tiebreaks could push the total games to 10+. Bianchi/Harper’s serving dominance or Milavsky/Sheehy’s aggressive net play might extend rallies, increasing game count.
A dominant server (e.g., aces or quick holds) or a lopsided match (e.g., one player winning 6-0 or 6-1) would likely keep the game total under 10. Tiebreaks are rare in short sets, reducing the likelihood of reaching the threshold.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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