Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: match_cancellation_or_delay
Calibrated 100% · raw 4875% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 7/2/2026, 3:00:25 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 39% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
100%
ORYN Consensus
51%
Signal Score
-48.8
Opportunity
31.7
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,678,765
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -4875.0¢
Entry: 97-100
—
Resolution
5d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
3 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Bianchi/Harper and Milavsky/Sheehy in the Cary, originally scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in set 2 equals or exceeds 9. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any tiebreak in set 2 counts as one (1) game toward the total. If set 2 is not completed for any reason (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market favors the Over outcome (51%) for the total games in set 2 of the Bianchi/Harper vs. Milavsky/Sheehy tennis match, indicating a slight lean toward higher-scoring sets. The 50-50 resolution clauses for incomplete or canceled matches introduce significant uncertainty.
Bianchi/Harper and Milavsky/Sheehy are both known for aggressive baseline play and high first-serve percentages, which typically lead to longer, more competitive sets. The 8.5 O/U threshold is modest, and even a single tiebreak in set 2 would push the total to 9 games, favoring the Over outcome.
The match could end in straight sets before set 2 is completed, or set 2 could be a lopsided contest with few games played. Additionally, external factors like weather delays or player injuries could disrupt play, triggering a 50-50 resolution. Dominant servers or weak return games could also suppress the total game count.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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