Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: match_delay_or_cancellation
Calibrated 100% · raw 4855% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 7/2/2026, 2:15:19 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 38% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
100%
ORYN Consensus
51%
Signal Score
-48.5
Opportunity
35.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,657,331
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -4855.0¢
Entry: 97-100
—
Resolution
5d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
4 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Bianchi/Harper and Milavsky/Sheehy in the Cary, originally scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 9. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for the Bianchi/Harper vs. Milavsky/Sheehy first-set games over/under 8.5 is marginally favoring the 'Over' outcome with a 51% probability. The slight bias suggests expectations of a higher-scoring set, though the near-even split indicates uncertainty.
A higher-scoring set is plausible if both teams demonstrate strong serving games and aggressive baseline play, leading to extended rallies and more games. Bianchi/Harper's chemistry or Milavsky/Sheehy's tactical approach could favor a faster-paced match, pushing the total games above 8.5.
A lower-scoring set could result from dominant serving performances, quick break point conversions, or tactical defensive play, reducing the total games to 8 or fewer. Weather conditions, player fatigue, or unexpected injuries might also contribute to a slower-paced match.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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