Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: unexpected delays or cancellations
AI updated 6/28/2026, 5:34:19 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
964,146
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
8d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Banthia/Kadhe and Carou/Gomez in the Milan, originally scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 9. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Banthia/Kadhe vs. Carou/Gomez Set 1 Games Over/Under 8.5 is currently at 50% probability, indicating a balanced expectation with no clear lean toward over or under. The outcome depends on the total games played in the first set, including tiebreaks.
A higher-scoring first set (9+ games) could occur if both teams play aggressively, favoring powerful servers or baseline rallies that extend points. The presence of strong servers like Kadhe or Carou may lead to longer games, increasing the likelihood of an 'Over' outcome.
A lower-scoring first set (under 9 games) may result from dominant serving performances, quick breaks of serve, or efficient tiebreaks. If either team holds serve easily or wins games in short order, the 'Under' scenario becomes more plausible.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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