Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Match abandonment due to injury or retirement
AI updated 6/29/2026, 5:19:37 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,470,173
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
8d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Arribage/Olivetti and Luz/Matos in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for July 1, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 24. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam statistics.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The match between Arribage/Olivetti and Luz/Matos has an even probability (50%) of finishing with 23 or fewer games (Under) or 24 or more games (Over). The neutral starting point reflects balanced expectations for both outcomes.
The Over outcome is supported by the potential for high-intensity baseline rallies or aggressive serving patterns, which could extend the match duration. Surface conditions (e.g., slow grass) may also favor longer rallies, increasing the likelihood of 24+ games.
The Under outcome is plausible if either team employs a serve-and-volley strategy or if the match features quick service holds and minimal breaks, resulting in a lower total game count. Weather disruptions or early retirements could also skew the result toward fewer games.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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