Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: weather_delays
AI updated 6/29/2026, 5:19:06 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,469,623
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
8d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Arribage/Olivetti and Luz/Matos in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for July 1, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 9. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam results.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market on the total games in the first set of Arribage/Olivetti vs. Luz/Matos at Wimbledon 2026 is evenly split, indicating high uncertainty about the match's pace. The 50% probability reflects balanced expectations between aggressive and defensive playstyles.
Arribage/Olivetti may adopt a high-risk, high-reward strategy with frequent net approaches, leading to a faster-paced first set with 9+ games. Luz/Matos’s baseline-heavy style could struggle against serve-and-volley specialists, prolonging rallies.
Luz/Matos’s defensive resilience and strong returning could extend points, reducing total games in the first set to 8 or fewer. Arribage/Olivetti’s inconsistency under pressure might result in unforced errors, shortening the set.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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