This market refers to the tennis match between Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Daniel Merida Aguilar in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in set 2 equals or exceeds 9. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any tiebreak in set 2 counts as one (1) game toward the total. If set 2 is not completed for any reason (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam results.
Key risk: incomplete_set_resolution
AI updated 6/27/2026, 6:16:58 AM
This market refers to the tennis match between Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Daniel Merida Aguilar in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in set 2 equals or exceeds 9. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any tiebreak in set 2 counts as one (1) game toward the total. If set 2 is not completed for any reason (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam results.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
52%
Signal Score
+2.0
Opportunity
1.3
ORYN is polling its model network — Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — for this market. The consensus and per-model dissent will appear here.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
The prediction market for the second set game total (O/U 8.5) between Carabelli and Aguilar is evenly balanced at 50%, reflecting high uncertainty due to limited match history and surface dynamics. The 50-50 resolution clause for incomplete sets or delays further skews risk neutrality.
A high-scoring second set (Over 8.5) is plausible if both players engage in aggressive baseline rallies or frequent net approaches, typical of clay-court specialists like Carabelli. Weather conditions (e.g., slower ball speed) or tactical mismatches could extend games.
An Under 8.5 outcome is likely if the match transitions to a serve-dominated contest, with tiebreaks or quick service holds reducing total games. Early dominance by one player (e.g., 6-0, 6-1) would invalidate the set entirely, triggering a 50-50 resolution.
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Carabelli vs. Aguilar: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 is tracked on ORYN with data sourced from polymarket. Current market-implied probability is 50% while ORYN AI estimates 52%.
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