Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Match cancellation or postponement beyond 7 days
Calibrated 100% · raw 9495% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/30/2026, 1:30:54 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 21% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
0%
ORYN Consensus
95%
Signal Score
+95.0
Opportunity
93.1
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 9495.0¢
Entry: 0-3
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
4
Price history
2 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Liam Broady and Hayato Matsuoka in the Cary, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 10. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for 'Broady vs. Matsuoka: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5' is highly skewed toward the 'Under' outcome, with a 99.95% probability, reflecting strong expectations of a low-scoring first set in this tennis match.
A bullish outcome (10+ games) could occur if both players engage in an aggressive, high-energy playstyle with frequent winners or unforced errors, or if the match features extended rallies due to strong defensive play or slow court conditions.
A bearish outcome (9 or fewer games) is likely if both players have strong serves, leading to quick holds and minimal breaks, or if the match is impacted by adverse weather or player fatigue, resulting in a short, efficient set.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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