Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Misclassification of the market under 'cricket' instead of golf
AI updated 6/26/2026, 1:39:24 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 21% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
0%
ORYN Consensus
1%
Signal Score
+0.9
Opportunity
0.8
Graph Relationships
Related markets and connected predictions
correlates · strength 60%
Will Jacob Bridgeman's performance is negatively related to the likelihood of Will Antonee Robinson recording the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup
correlates · strength 60%
Will Jacob Bridgeman's performance is unrelated to the likelihood of Will Arizona Cardinals winning the 2026 NFC West
correlates · strength 60%
Will Jacob Bridgeman's performance is positively related to the likelihood of Will Vitinha winning the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup
correlates · strength 60%
Will Jacob Bridgeman's performance is unrelated to the likelihood of Will Aleksandar Pavlović winning the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup
correlates · strength 60%
Will Jacob Bridgeman's performance is inversely related to Ryan Fox's performance in the 2026 Travelers Championship
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 90.0¢
Entry: 0-3
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
11
Price history
50 points
This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 Travelers Championship tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Travelers Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No". If an unlisted player wins the Travelers Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If no winner is announced by July 4, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market reflects a low-probability outcome for Jacob Bridgeman winning the 2026 Travelers Championship, with a 1.05% chance. The event is golf-related, not cricket, suggesting a potential misclassification in the market setup.
Jacob Bridgeman's form improves significantly before 2026, with strong performances in early-season PGA Tour events boosting his confidence. A favorable draw or conditions at the Travelers Championship align with his playing style, increasing his chances of victory.
Bridgeman struggles with consistency in 2025-2026, facing injuries or poor form that exclude him from contention. The Travelers Championship field is highly competitive, with top-ranked players dominating, reducing his odds of winning.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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