Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Berger's injury history and potential recurrence
Calibrated 100% · raw 1250% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/26/2026, 1:39:15 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 24% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
3%
ORYN Consensus
15%
Signal Score
+12.5
Opportunity
9.8
Graph Relationships
Related markets and connected predictions
correlates · strength 60%
Daniel Berger's performance is negatively correlated with Aleksandar Pavlović's award win
correlates · strength 60%
Daniel Berger's performance is inversely related to Vitinha's Golden Ball win
correlates · strength 60%
Daniel Berger's performance is positively correlated with Corey Conners' performance
correlates · strength 60%
Daniel Berger's performance is negatively correlated with Arizona Cardinals' division win
correlates · strength 60%
Daniel Berger's performance is inversely related to Antonee Robinson's assist count
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 1250.0¢
Entry: 0-6
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
4
Price history
25 points
This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 Travelers Championship tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Travelers Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No". If an unlisted player wins the Travelers Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If no winner is announced by July 4, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market currently assigns a 14.95% probability to Daniel Berger winning the 2026 Travelers Championship, indicating skepticism about his victory given his inconsistent recent form and the tournament's competitive field.
Daniel Berger could win the 2026 Travelers Championship if he regains his 2020-2021 form, where he won the tournament twice and demonstrated clutch performance under pressure, particularly in playoff victories.
Berger's recent struggles with injuries and inconsistent performances in majors and high-stakes events reduce his likelihood of winning, with younger players and rising stars likely to outperform him in a competitive field.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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