Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Injury or withdrawal before match
Calibrated 100% · raw 400% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 7/1/2026, 7:15:19 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 50% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
47%
ORYN Consensus
51%
Signal Score
+4.0
Opportunity
2.5
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,294,940
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 400.0¢
Entry: 44-50
—
Resolution
6d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
10 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Dayana Yastremska and Jessica Bouzas Maneiro in the Wimbledon WTA, originally scheduled for July 1, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Yastremska” if Dayana Yastremska wins the first set. It will resolve to “Maneiro” if Jessica Bouzas Maneiro wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam match statistics.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market shows a near-even split between Dayana Yastremska and Jessica Bouzas Maneiro winning the first set of their Wimbledon WTA match, with Yastremska slightly favored at 53% in implied odds. The 47% market probability suggests high uncertainty or balanced expectations.
Dayana Yastremska is favored due to her higher ranking (current WTA #58 vs Maneiro's #102) and stronger serve-and-volley style, which could dominate early in the match. Her recent form (2024 season) includes multiple deep runs in Grand Slams, indicating resilience.
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro benefits from Yastremska's inconsistent form in 2025 (multiple early exits) and Maneiro's clay-court specialization, which may translate to grass. Maneiro's left-handed serve could disrupt Yastremska's rhythm.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
No direct venue links for this market. ORYN exclusive markets are intelligence-only.
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