Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Upset potential due to Tauson's rising trajectory
Calibrated 100% · raw 1150% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/30/2026, 9:15:21 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 44% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
39%
Signal Score
-11.5
Opportunity
7.5
Graph Relationships
Related markets and connected predictions
correlates · strength 60%
correlated market
correlates · strength 60%
Unrelated to global events or personal achievements
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,879,001
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -1150.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
5d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
5 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Maria Sakkari and Clara Tauson in the Wimbledon WTA, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Sakkari” if Maria Sakkari wins the first set. It will resolve to “Tauson” if Clara Tauson wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam match statistics.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market favors Maria Sakkari (38.50%) over Clara Tauson in winning the first set of their Wimbledon WTA match. Historically, Sakkari has a slight edge in head-to-head set wins, but Tauson's recent form and grass-court experience introduce uncertainty.
Maria Sakkari's aggressive baseline game and experience on grass courts (e.g., 2023 Wimbledon quarterfinal) suggest she is more likely to dominate the first set. Her higher ranking (top 20) and better win rates on hard courts (where she excels) may translate to a strong start, despite Tauson's rising form.
Clara Tauson's improving grass-court performance (e.g., 2022 Birmingham semifinal) and Sakkari's inconsistent form in early rounds could favor Tauson. Tauson's youth and adaptability may outperform Sakkari's reliance on power, especially under Wimbledon's unique pressure.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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