Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Match cancellation or delay beyond resolution threshold
AI updated 6/29/2026, 7:16:52 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
54%
ORYN Consensus
54%
Signal Score
+0.5
Opportunity
0.3
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,665,190
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 50.0¢
Entry: 50-57
—
Resolution
6d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
20 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Gabriela Ruse and Caty McNally in the Wimbledon WTA, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Ruse” if Gabriela Ruse wins the first set. It will resolve to “McNally” if Caty McNally wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam match statistics.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market favors Gabriela Ruse (53.50%) to win the first set against Caty McNally in their Wimbledon WTA match. The slight edge reflects Ruse's historical performance and potential match dynamics.
Ruse's recent form, surface adaptability, and head-to-head advantage (if applicable) suggest she is slightly favored to claim the first set. Her aggressive baseline play could dominate McNally's defensive style.
McNally's experience in grass court tournaments and her ability to disrupt Ruse's rhythm may counter the market's slight bias. Injuries or fatigue could also play a role in a first-set upset.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
No direct venue links for this market. ORYN exclusive markets are intelligence-only.
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