Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: player withdrawal due to injury
AI updated 6/30/2026, 7:45:18 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 50% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
100%
ORYN Consensus
100%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,115,611
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 97-100
—
Resolution
5d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
2 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Ashlyn Krueger and Donna Vekic in the Wimbledon WTA, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if all games and sets required to determine a match winner under governing body or event organizer rules are played to completion through normal play. Otherwise, if the match is not completed for any reason, it will resolve to "No." If a forfeit of any kind occurs, including but not limited to a walkover or retirement, this market will resolve "No." If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market overwhelmingly favors the completion of the Ashlyn Krueger vs. Donna Vekic Wimbledon WTA match, with a 99.75% probability. The near-certainty reflects standard tennis match completion rates and minimal exogenous risks.
Historical data shows tennis matches rarely fail to complete due to the sport's structured format (best-of-three or best-of-five sets) and strict adherence to rules by governing bodies like the WTA. Weather disruptions are unlikely in late June at Wimbledon, and player health issues are uncommon in elite tournaments.
Unforeseen events such as extreme weather, player injury/illness, or administrative errors (e.g., scheduling conflicts) could lead to match non-completion. While rare, walkovers or retirements in elite tennis are not unprecedented, particularly if a player withdraws late due to unforeseen circumstances.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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