Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Unconfirmed reports with no official confirmation
AI updated 7/2/2026, 9:50:00 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 22% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
100%
ORYN Consensus
100%
Signal Score
-0.4
Opportunity
0.4
Graph Relationships
Related markets and connected predictions
correlates · strength 60%
Public interest in pop culture
correlates · strength 60%
Taylor Swift's music popularity
correlates · strength 60%
Celebrity attendance at major events
correlates · strength 60%
Comparing box office performances of different movies and tours
correlates · strength 60%
Social media influence on news and events
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -42.0¢
Entry: 97-100
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
12
Price history
90 points
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market overwhelmingly favors Taylor Swift's attendance at Super Bowl LVIII with a 99.92% probability, indicating near-certainty among traders. This reflects strong confidence in the reported relationship between Swift and Travis Kelce, an NFL player likely to participate in the event.
Taylor Swift's attendance is highly plausible given her reported relationship with Travis Kelce, a key player for the Kansas City Chiefs, who are favored to reach the Super Bowl. Public appearances by Swift at NFL games (e.g., Chiefs games) and her documented support for Kelce further bolster this likelihood.
Potential reasons for Swift's absence include scheduling conflicts, such as prior commitments (e.g., Eras Tour concerts) or personal preference to avoid high-profile public events. Media speculation could also be exaggerated, with no official confirmation from either Swift or the NFL.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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ORYN does not hold funds or execute trades. You will be redirected to a third-party regulated venue.
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