Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Algorithm prioritization of newer content
Calibrated 100% · raw 550% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 7/1/2026, 7:01:47 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 45% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
26%
ORYN Consensus
20%
Signal Score
-5.5
Opportunity
4.7
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,553,545
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -550.0¢
Entry: 22-29
—
Resolution
5d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
7 points
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, July 7, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix show. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by July 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market predicts a low 20% probability that 'Survival of the Thickest: Season 3' will rank as the #1 US Netflix show this week. Competing titles and Netflix's algorithmic prioritization of newer or high-profile releases likely reduce its chances.
The show's established fanbase and cultural relevance could drive sufficient viewership to surpass competitors. If Netflix's promotional push is strong, it may secure the top spot.
Netflix's Top 10 lists often favor newer or high-budget productions, and 'Survival of the Thickest: Season 3' may face stiff competition from trending titles or fresh releases. Historical viewership data suggests lower odds.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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